Covidbility

Learn the likelihood that you will be directly infected with a novel coronavirus by another person.

covidbilitynoun [ C / U ]
A number that represents how likely one person gets infected by a novel coronavirus.

You have - % chance to get infected.

In - you have - % chance to get infected.

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How many people have you met?

People that you get closer than 2 meters (6 feets) of distance for a significant time.
Simplified model, learn more in Notes.
You can move people between days.

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-4

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Yest.

- %

Today

- %

Optional

Where do you live?

What is your age group?

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Undocumented cases

Multiplicator: ×

Load data for World (average)

Chance to hospitalization or ICU

All ages: %, age 0-9: %, 10-19 %, 20-29 %, 30-39 %, 40-49 %, 50-59 %, 60-69 %, 70-79 %, 80+ %

Load data for World (average), Spain, USA (derived)

Chance to death (Fatality Rate – CFR)

All ages: %, age 0-9: %, 10-19 %, 20-29 %, 30-39 %, 40-49 %, 50-59 %, 60-69 %, 70-79 %, 80+ %

Load data for World (average), China, Italy, Netherlands, South Korea, Spain

Results

You have 0.2109 % chance to get infected.

You have 0.0421 % chance to need hospitalization or ICU.

You have 0.0071 % chance that you will die.

The chance that you will die this year in a vehicle crash is 0.0182 %.

If you need hospitalization, there is a chance that you will end with reduced function of lungs.

If you are young and need hospitalization, there is a small chance that someone else will die because of triage.

Notes:
– This is very simplified model for information purpose only.
– We do not intend to provide any medical advice.
– We are not epidemiologists or medical scientists.
– The model does not count on transmission risk, gender, wearing masks, passing people on the street or touching infected surfaces.
– We use data from pomber / covid19 and samayo / country-json. Different countries count cases and test populations differently.
– Chance of having COVID-19 = (Conf.C. × multiplicator of Undoc.C. − Rec. − Deaths) / Popul. × 100.
– Default hospitalization and fatality rates based on multiple sources, e.g. The Covid-19 risks for different age groups, explained, Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19) – Statistics and Research. The model does not count with number of hospital beds or comorbidity.
– Vehicle crash probability based on Global Status Report on Road Safety 2018.

If you can stay home, wear a mask, wash hands & save lives.

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Read more:
Masks4All.org – Movement for population-wide use of homemade masks as critical protective equipment against COVID-19.
Masks4All.co – Make and wear a homemade mask to slow the spread of COVID-19.